1
Corvus
4yo Colt · 8-12 · OR 76
Finger Lakes · Race 1 - Allowance · 1m 70y
#6
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-08-02 | Saratoga | ? | 11th | 13th | −2 |
| 2026-07-18 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-06-14 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 6th | 9th | −3 |
| 2026-05-10 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 2-4 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength63%
Delivery trend -5.6% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |
| 04/02/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 21/03/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 17/04/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 10/05/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 14/06/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 29% | -0.19 |
| 18/07/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 02/08/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/09/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |