3
Sunday's Currency
3yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 77
Finger Lakes · Race 1 - Allowance · 1m 70y
#7
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength64%
Delivery trend -0.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 83% | +0.20 |
| 18/05/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 27/05/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 09/06/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 57% | -0.27 |
| 23/06/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 14/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 83% | -0.07 |
| 04/08/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 19/08/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 01/09/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 43% | -0.36 |