5
Princess Cairo
6yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 73
Finger Lakes · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-18 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength23%
Delivery trend -3.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10/2025 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 21/10/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 04/11/2025 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 71% | -0.11 |
| 18/11/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 17/01/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 17% | -0.41 |
| 01/06/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 17% | -0.54 |
| 15/06/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 05/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 25/08/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 17% | -0.62 |