5

Klum

4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 51

Finger Lakes · Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f 110y

#3

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Tampa Bay Downs 26/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 5f Fm 12526/04C6C6 @ Finger Lakes 08/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 55 · 5f110y 124 · beat its mark08/06/2026 · OR 55 par8/06C6OR 55C6 @ Finger Lakes 06/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 47 · 5f110y 124 · beat its mark06/07/2026 · OR 47 par6/07C6OR 47C6 @ Finger Lakes 05/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 45 · 5f110y Fas 124 · beat its mark05/08/2026 · OR 45 par5/08C6OR 45C6 @ Finger Lakes 24/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 50 · 5f110y Fas 124 · beat its mark24/08/2026 · OR 50 par24/08C6OR 50projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-24Finger Lakes?5th5th0
2026-08-05Finger Lakes?5th5th0
2026-07-06Finger Lakes?3rd3rd0
2026-06-08Finger Lakes?4th4th0
2026-04-26Tampa Bay Downs?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/048/066/075/0824/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength53%

Delivery trend +0.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/04/20267th10/147%25%-0.22
08/06/20264th12/137%40%+0.03
06/07/20263rd10/147%75%+0.28
05/08/20265th25/10%43%+0.43
24/08/20265th8/158%20%-0.38