1
Kozy Bee
3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 61
Finger Lakes · Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
96%
Place Prob
77%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength19%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength50%
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/05/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |
| 25/05/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 33% | -0.48 |
| 05/08/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 25/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 75% | +0.04 |
| 08/09/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |