7
Spirit Forward
3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 44
Finger Lakes · Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-07-23 | Saratoga | ? | 8th | 11th | −3 |
| 2025-09-19 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 11-11 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -70.7% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 23/07/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 20/08/2026 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 0% | -0.91 |