6
Into The Unknown
3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 68
Finger Lakes · Race 6 - Niagara Stakes · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Belmont Park | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2026-08-19 | Saratoga | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-06-28 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-06-04 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-05-09 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength45%
Delivery trend -5.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/04/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 09/05/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 04/06/2026 | 2nd | 50/1 | 0% | 91% | +0.91 |
| 28/06/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 30/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |
| 19/08/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/09/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |