7
Oh
3yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 65
Finger Lakes · Race 6 - Niagara Stakes · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
16%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 1.9 /10 (raw 1.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-22 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-28 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 4-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength52%
Delivery trend -37.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 22/09/2025 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |