Giant At Work
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 83
Finger Lakes · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
15%
Place Prob
18%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-22 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-26 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-10-22 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09/2025 | 2nd | 3/10 | 98% | 80% | -0.18 |
| 15/09/2025 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 29/09/2025 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 22/10/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 86% | -0.01 |
| 26/12/2025 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 22/01/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 20% | -0.51 |
| 14/03/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 83% | +0.57 |
| 01/05/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 20/08/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |