Sweet Anniversary
5yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 83
Finger Lakes · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
54%
Place Prob
35%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 2.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-12 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-10-13 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-09-26 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06/2025 | 3rd | 5/6 | 96% | 60% | -0.36 |
| 10/07/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |
| 06/08/2025 | 6th | 15/8 | 90% | 0% | -0.90 |
| 26/09/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 13/10/2025 | 7th | 11/4 | 86% | 25% | -0.61 |
| 12/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 01/06/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |
| 24/07/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 86% | +0.70 |
| 23/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 33% | -0.54 |