1
Double Shot
9yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 76
Finger Lakes · Race 9 - Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
44%
Place Prob
38%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-13 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-28 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength98%
Delivery trend +3.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 09/09/2025 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 22/09/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 56% | +0.29 |
| 28/10/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |
| 13/11/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 10/06/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 20/07/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 04/08/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 43% | -0.10 |
| 26/08/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |