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2

He Has It All

5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 72

Finger Lakes · Race 9 - Claiming · 6f

#2

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

49%

Place Prob

40%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength55%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: +1.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Finger Lakes 17/06/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 78 · 5f110y Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/06/2025 · OR 78 par17/06C5OR 78C8 @ Finger Lakes 15/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 77 · 5f110y 124 · beat its mark15/07/2025 · OR 77 parC5 @ Finger Lakes 06/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 83 · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/08/2025 · OR 83 par6/08C5OR 83C5 @ Finger Lakes 02/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 84 · 5f110y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/09/2025 · OR 84 parC5 @ Finger Lakes 17/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 81 · 6f Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/09/2025 · OR 81 par17/09C5OR 81C6 @ Finger Lakes 27/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 84 · 6f 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/10/2025 · OR 84 parC6 @ Finger Lakes 25/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 85 · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/11/2025 · OR 85 par25/11C6OR 85C6 @ Finger Lakes 23/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 84 · 6f Gd 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/06/2026 · OR 84 parC8 @ Finger Lakes 31/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 80 · 6f Slo 122 · below its mark31/08/2026 · OR 80 par31/08C8OR 80projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Finger Lakes?9th9th0
2026-06-23Finger Lakes?5th3rd+2
2025-11-25Finger Lakes?5th3rd+2
2025-10-27Finger Lakes?3rd1st+2
2025-09-17Finger Lakes?1st-2th+3
2025-09-02Finger Lakes?6th3rd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/062/0925/1131/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength31%

Delivery trend -5.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/06/20254th7/491%63%-0.28
15/07/20251st2/598%100%+0.02
06/08/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
02/09/20256th1/195%0%-0.95
17/09/20251st5/287%100%+0.13
27/10/20253rd15/261%67%+0.06
25/11/20255th7/163%0%-0.63
23/06/20265th10/147%0%-0.47
31/08/20269th9/153%0%-0.53