8
Irie Man
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 69
Finger Lakes · Race 9 - Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-26 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-17 | Finger Lakes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-10-27 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-17 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength92%
Delivery trend +6.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 06/08/2025 | 6th | 11/8 | 93% | 0% | -0.93 |
| 03/09/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 17/09/2025 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 17% | -0.71 |
| 27/10/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 17/11/2025 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 26/11/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 10/06/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 13/07/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |