Newport Bridge
6yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 69
Finger Lakes · Race 9 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-07-15 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-05-27 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2025-11-26 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2025-10-29 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +6.4% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09/2025 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 17/09/2025 | 6th | 2/1 | 89% | 17% | -0.73 |
| 07/10/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 29/10/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 26/11/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 27/05/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 15/07/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 12/08/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/09/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |