2
Bingo's Grind
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 83
Fort Erie · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Fort Erie | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Fort Erie | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Fort Erie | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Fort Erie | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Fort Erie | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-29 | Fort Erie | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 3-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength4%
Delivery trend -10.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 20/10/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 31/05/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 80% | +0.19 |
| 29/06/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 12/07/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 20% | -0.56 |
| 27/07/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 17/08/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |
| 31/08/2026 | 4th | 1/1 | 95% | 25% | -0.70 |
| 15/09/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |