3
Blue Max
8yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 82
Fort Erie · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
9/5
Win Prob
43%
Place Prob
33%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Fort Erie | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Fort Erie | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Fort Erie | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Fort Erie | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-01 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-23 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength65%
Delivery trend -2.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/01/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 12/02/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 02/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 23/03/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 17% | -0.44 |
| 01/04/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 12/07/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |
| 27/07/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 75% | +0.09 |
| 18/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 31/08/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 50% | -0.39 |