6
A La Carte
8yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 80
Fort Erie · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
86%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Fort Erie | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Fort Erie | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Fort Erie | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Fort Erie | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Fort Erie | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength87%
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/01/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 17/02/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |
| 09/03/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 83% | +0.15 |
| 26/03/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 06/07/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 20/07/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 11/08/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 17/08/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 15/09/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |