4
Absolute Chairman
6yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 69
Fort Erie · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Woodbine | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-12-14 | Woodbine | ? | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2025-12-07 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength42%
Delivery trend -3.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/12/2024 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 27/04/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/07/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 07/12/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 14/12/2025 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 08/05/2026 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 12/06/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 09/08/2026 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 23% | +0.07 |
| 28/08/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |