3
Awe Inspired
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 73
Fort Erie · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Fort Erie | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Woodbine | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-05-10 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength82%
Delivery trend -0.3% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 14/11/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 29/11/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 10/05/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 23/05/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 10/07/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 24/07/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 43% | -0.31 |
| 15/08/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 07/09/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |