Ghost Hero
6yo Horse · 8-10 · OR 79
Fort Erie · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | Fort Erie | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-07-21 | Fort Erie | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-06-24 | Assiniboia Downs | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-03 | Assiniboia Downs | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-03-06 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-11-08 | Remington Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 5. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/05/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 24/08/2025 | 6th | 2/1 | 89% | 0% | -0.89 |
| 18/10/2025 | 9th | 9/2 | 76% | 11% | -0.65 |
| 08/11/2025 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 14% | -0.44 |
| 06/03/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 03/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 88% | +0.02 |
| 24/06/2026 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 60% | -0.31 |
| 21/07/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 10/08/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |