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7

Hale Bopp

8yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 45

Hamilton · Racing TV Apprentice Handicap · 1m 68y

#7

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Useful handicapper in Ireland in his prime, though without a win now for 3 years. Making first run since leaving P. Sweeney, was well backed but finished only sixth of 8 at Musselburgh 9 days ago. Interesting to see if the support returns.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength86%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 7.7)

Highest class: BHA40
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA40 @ Cork 24/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 18 · OR 40 · 1m Goo 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/04/2026 · OR 40 par24/0440OR 40BHA40 @ Gowran Park 05/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR 40 · 1m Goo 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/05/2026 · OR 40 parBHA40 @ Killarney 12/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR 40 · 1m31y Gd 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/05/2026 · OR 40 par12/0540OR 40BHA40 @ Gowran Park 20/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR 40 · 1m Goo 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/05/2026 · OR 40 parBHA40 @ Gowran Park 01/06/2026 · Pos 14th of 16 · OR 40 · 1m Yie 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/06/2026 · OR 40 par1/0640OR 40BHA40 @ Leopardstown 11/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 17 · OR 40 · 1m1f Sft 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/06/2026 · OR 40 parBHA40 @ Bellewstown 25/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR 40 · 7f195y Goo 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/08/2026 · OR 40 par25/0840OR 40BHA40 @ Navan 27/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 40 · 1m20y Goo 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/08/2026 · OR 40 par6 @ Musselburgh 12/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 45 · 1m2y Goo 126 · beat its mark12/09/2026 · OR 45 par12/096OR 45projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Musselburgh66th6th0
2026-08-27NavanBHA407th5th+2
2026-08-25BellewstownBHA403rd1st+2
2026-06-11LeopardstownBHA4011th9th+2
2026-06-01Gowran ParkBHA4014th12th+2
2026-05-20Gowran ParkBHA403rd1st+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0420/0525/0812/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength34%

Delivery trend -8.5% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/04/20266th12/137%71%+0.34
05/05/20266th18/15%64%+0.59
12/05/20267th18/15%57%+0.52
20/05/20263rd15/261%87%+0.26
01/06/202614th15/261%13%-0.47
11/06/202611th12/137%38%+0.01
25/08/20263rd18/15%86%+0.80
27/08/20267th17/255%45%-0.10
12/09/20266th4/179%29%-0.50