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9yo Mare · 9-7 · OR 53

Hamilton · Racing TV Apprentice Handicap · 1m 68y

#1

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

97%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Got off the mark for the year in classified event at Ayr last month and has continued in good heart in 2 handicaps since, runner-up at Beverley 5 days ago despite meeting trouble. Can make her presence felt.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength28%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Beverley 04/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 57 · 1m100y Goo 132 · beat its mark04/05/2026 · OR 57 par4/056OR 576 @ Beverley 27/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 56 · 1m100y Goo 131 · beat its mark27/05/2026 · OR 56 par6 @ Beverley 16/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 55 · 1m100y Goo 135 · beat its mark16/06/2026 · OR 55 par16/066OR 556 @ Pontefract 29/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 53 · 1m6y Goo 138 · beat its mark29/06/2026 · OR 53 par6 @ Hamilton 11/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 52 · 1m68y Goo 132 · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 52 par11/076OR 526 @ Hamilton 01/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 52 · 1m1f35y Gd 135 · beat its mark01/08/2026 · OR 52 par6 @ Ayr 10/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 50 · 1m Goo 135 · beat its mark10/08/2026 · OR 50 par10/086OR 506 @ Musselburgh 24/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 54 · 1m2y Gd 134 · beat its mark24/08/2026 · OR 54 par6 @ Beverley 16/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 53 · 1m100y Goo 135 · beat its mark16/09/2026 · OR 53 par16/096OR 53projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-16Beverley62nd2nd0
2026-08-24Musselburgh66th6th0
2026-08-10Ayr61st1st0
2026-08-01Hamilton65th5th0
2026-07-11Hamilton64th4th0
2026-06-29Pontefract65th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0529/0610/0816/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength94%

Delivery trend +4.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/05/20264th9/153%77%+0.24
27/05/20265th2/189%33%-0.56
16/06/20265th10/382%43%-0.40
29/06/20265th9/276%50%-0.26
11/07/20264th9/276%40%-0.36
01/08/20265th14/126%43%+0.17
10/08/20261st5/287%100%+0.13
24/08/20266th7/282%58%-0.23
16/09/20262nd7/163%89%+0.26