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2

By Jove Grace

2yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 67

Hamilton · Evolution, Your Partner For Fastener Solutions EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 5f 7y

#1

Rank

Odds

10/11

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

93%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Showed more like debut promise when second of 8 in maiden at Musselburgh (5f, good to firm, 18/1) 28 days ago. Should take plenty of stopping on form.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength16%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Carlisle 24/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR - · 5f GF 12824/0644 @ Ripon 18/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR - · 5f Goo 12518/0744 @ Musselburgh 24/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 5f1y Goo 12824/084projClass-projected finish: 1st of 1
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-24Musselburgh42nd2nd0
2026-07-18Ripon45th5th0
2026-06-24Carlisle42nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0618/0724/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +9.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 5. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/06/20262nd18/15%67%+0.61
18/07/20265th17/255%0%-0.55
24/08/20262nd18/15%86%+0.80