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Perseus Way

7yo Gelding · 9-13 · OR 73

Hamilton · Watch Racing TV Free For 31 Days Handicap · 1m 4f 15y

#1

Rank

Odds

10/3

Win Prob

75%

Place Prob

51%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Completed a cross-code hat-trick when bolting up at Hexham in June and is a perfect 2 from 2 on the Flat this season, landing 12-runner handicap over 13f at this course by neck from Spanish Hustle last time. Has won off a higher mark in the past so has to merit consideration.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength93%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Hamilton 03/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 63 · 1m5f16y Goo 138 · beat its mark03/09/2025 · OR 63 par3/095OR 634 @ Musselburgh 13/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 65 · 2m2f28y Goo 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/09/2025 · OR 65 par5 @ Ayr 19/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 65 · 1m5f26y Sft 137 · beat its mark19/09/2025 · OR 65 par19/095OR 653 @ Hexham 02/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 109 · 2m48y Gd 153 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/05/2026 · OR 109 par3 @ Hexham 09/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 107 · 2m4f28y Sft 146 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/05/2026 · OR 107 par9/053OR 1075 @ Hamilton 04/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 64 · 1m5f16y Goo 127 · beat its mark04/06/2026 · OR 64 par3 @ Hexham 13/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 112 · 2m4f28y Gd 156 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/06/2026 · OR 112 par13/063OR 1123 @ Hexham 21/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 121 · 2m48y Gd 168 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/06/2026 · OR 121 par5 @ Hamilton 02/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 70 · 1m5f16y Sft 142 · beat its mark02/09/2026 · OR 70 par2/095OR 70projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Hamilton51st1st0
2026-06-21Hexham32nd0th+2
2026-06-13Hexham31st-1th+2
2026-06-04Hamilton51st1st0
2026-05-09Hexham31st-1th+2
2026-05-02Hexham33rd1st+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/092/0513/062/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength72%

Delivery trend -5.4% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/09/20251st8/158%100%+0.42
13/09/20255th33/10%50%+0.50
19/09/20254th11/271%75%+0.04
02/05/20263rd8/158%60%+0.02
09/05/20261st8/158%100%+0.42
04/06/20261st7/491%100%+0.09
13/06/20261st13/891%100%+0.09
21/06/20262nd4/596%75%-0.21
02/09/20261st2/189%100%+0.11