4

Rewired

8yo Gelding · 9-13 · OR 73

Hamilton · Watch Racing TV Free For 31 Days Handicap · 1m 4f 15y

#10

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Timeform

Commentary

Won twice over hurdles at the beginning of last year. Off 16 months and found things happening too quickly when behind over an inadequate trip on return at Carlisle 12 days ago. Will be suited by this test though others make more appeal.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength75%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Carlisle 01/12/2024 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 122 · 2m1f Sft 156 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/12/2024 · OR 122 par1/123OR 1223 @ Haydock 21/12/2024 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 120 · 1m7f144y Hvy 163 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/12/2024 · OR 120 par3 @ Haydock 18/01/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 115 · 1m7f144y Sft 153 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/01/2025 · OR 115 par18/013OR 1152 @ Musselburgh 01/02/2025 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 110 · 1m7f124y GS 143 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/02/2025 · OR 110 par4 @ Newcastle 03/03/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 107 · 2m190y Goo 165 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/03/2025 · OR 107 par3/034OR 1074 @ Hexham 25/03/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 111 · 2m48y Goo 159 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/03/2025 · OR 111 par4 @ Hereford 09/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 111 · 2m53y Gd 161 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/05/2025 · OR 111 par9/054OR 1112 @ Kelso 25/05/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 115 · 2m51y Gd 154 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/05/2025 · OR 115 par5 @ Carlisle 09/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 75 · 7f173y Goo 140 · below its mark09/09/2026 · OR 75 par9/095OR 75projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Carlisle57th7th0
2025-05-25Kelso23rd-1th+3
2025-05-09Hereford41st0th+1
2025-03-25Hexham43rd2nd+1
2025-03-03Newcastle41st0th+1
2025-02-01Musselburgh211th7th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/121/029/059/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 9-12 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -4.9% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/12/20243rd50/10%71%+0.71
21/12/20248th14/126%0%-0.26
18/01/20256th66/10%29%+0.29
01/02/202511th22/10%9%+0.09
03/03/20251st7/163%100%+0.37
25/03/20253rd3/184%71%-0.13
09/05/20251st85/4089%100%+0.11
25/05/20253rd6/594%50%-0.44
09/09/20267th80/10%25%+0.25