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6

Yafreh

3yo Colt · 9-8 · OR 75

Hamilton · Watch Racing TV Free For 31 Days Handicap · 1m 4f 15y

#5

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Disappointed on last 2 starts after finishing runner-up on his previous couple of runs, not looking the most enthusiastic. Goes back up in trip and looks the type who will benefit from the fitting of the first-time cheekpieces.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength82%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Leicester 25/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 1m2f Goo 125 · HIGHER CLASS25/0433 @ Haydock 21/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m3f140y Sft 125 · HIGHER CLASS21/0533 @ Hamilton 10/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR - · 1m3f15y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS10/0634 @ Thirsk 01/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 77 · 1m4f8y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/07/2026 · OR 77 par1/074OR 773 @ Ripon 18/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 78 · 1m4f10y Goo 115 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/07/2026 · OR 78 par18/073OR 784 @ Redcar 09/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 78 · 1m2f1y Goo 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/09/2026 · OR 78 par9/094OR 78projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Redcar45th4th+1
2026-07-18Ripon37th5th+2
2026-07-01Thirsk42nd1st+1
2026-06-10Hamilton32nd0th+2
2026-05-21Haydock34th2nd+2
2026-04-25Leicester34th2nd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0421/0510/061/0718/079/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength22%

Delivery trend -5.4% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/04/20264th25/10%40%+0.40
21/05/20264th6/168%63%-0.06
10/06/20262nd5/174%75%+0.01
01/07/20262nd8/158%75%+0.17
18/07/20267th7/163%0%-0.63
09/09/20265th14/126%60%+0.34