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5

Jordan Electrics

10yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 85

Hamilton · Sir Ian Good Memorial Handicap · 5f 7y

#1

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

74%

Place Prob

54%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Successful 9 times at this course and returned to winning ways at Ayr (6f) in July. Has found things tougher on 2 most recent outings, tenth in the Ayr Bronze Cup 3 days ago, but he can't be ruled out back at this venue.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength54%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 6.6)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Hamilton 17/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 90 · 5f7y Gd 138 · beat its mark17/05/2026 · OR 90 par17/053OR 903 @ Carlisle 30/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 88 · 5f182y Goo 133 · beat its mark30/05/2026 · OR 88 par4 @ Hamilton 17/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 86 · 5f7y Goo 143 · beat its mark17/06/2026 · OR 86 par17/064OR 864 @ Ayr 06/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 17 · OR 84 · 6f Gd 141 · beat its mark06/07/2026 · OR 84 par2 @ Hamilton 17/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 84 · 6f6y Goo 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/07/2026 · OR 84 par17/072OR 843 @ Ayr 20/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 82 · 6f GF 133 · beat its mark20/07/2026 · OR 82 par3 @ Hamilton 21/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 86 · 5f7y GS 136 · beat its mark21/08/2026 · OR 86 par21/083OR 863 @ Thirsk 28/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 18 · OR 86 · 6f Gd 136 · beat its mark28/08/2026 · OR 86 par2 @ Ayr 18/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 24 · OR 86 · 6f Sft 136 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/09/2026 · OR 86 par18/092OR 86projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-18Ayr210th9th+1
2026-08-28Thirsk310th10th0
2026-08-21Hamilton33rd3rd0
2026-07-20Ayr31st1st0
2026-07-17Hamilton23rd2nd+1
2026-07-06Ayr48th9th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/056/0721/0818/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +8.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/05/20269th9/276%33%-0.43
30/05/20265th6/168%69%+0.01
17/06/20264th17/255%57%+0.02
06/07/20268th5/174%56%-0.17
17/07/20263rd7/282%67%-0.15
20/07/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
21/08/20263rd17/255%80%+0.25
28/08/202610th10/147%47%-0.00
18/09/202610th25/10%61%+0.61