7
Little Mi Mi
5yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 75
Hamilton · Sir Ian Good Memorial Handicap · 5f 7y
#2
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
25%
Place Prob
31%
Rank
#2
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 7.1 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | York | 4 | 14th | 15th | −1 |
| 2026-08-20 | Newcastle | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-08-01 | Hamilton | 5 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-06-26 | Newcastle | 5 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-06-05 | Musselburgh | 4 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-05-17 | Hamilton | 3 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +2.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 02/04/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 92% | +0.02 |
| 05/05/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 17/05/2026 | 11th | 8/1 | 58% | 17% | -0.41 |
| 05/06/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 26/06/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 01/08/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 20/08/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 06/09/2026 | 14th | 28/1 | 0% | 35% | +0.35 |