4

Sir Yoshi

4yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 86

Hamilton · Sir Ian Good Memorial Handicap · 5f 7y

#6

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Sole success came in maiden at Tipperary back in May 2024 but has shown encouragement for new yard this summer, making the frame over C&D in August. Below-par effort last time, though his mark has at least eased further. Blinkers applied.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength52%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA97 @ Navan 06/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 97 · 5f Gd 140 · below its mark06/09/2025 · OR 97 par6/0997OR 972 @ York 11/10/2025 · Pos 15th of 19 · OR 101 · 6f Gd 135 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/10/2025 · OR 101 par2 @ York 13/05/2026 · Pos 18th of 22 · OR 99 · 6f Gd 134 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/05/2026 · OR 99 par13/052OR 992 @ Thirsk 31/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 95 · 6f Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark31/05/2026 · OR 95 par2 @ Newcastle 26/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 92 · 5f Sta 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/06/2026 · OR 92 par26/062OR 923 @ Pontefract 17/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 90 · 5f3y Goo 136 · beat its mark17/07/2026 · OR 90 par2 @ Ascot 25/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 90 · 5f GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 90 par25/072OR 903 @ Hamilton 21/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 89 · 5f7y GS 139 · beat its mark21/08/2026 · OR 89 par3 @ Beverley 29/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 87 · 5f Sft 132 · below its mark29/08/2026 · OR 87 par29/083OR 87projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Beverley38th8th0
2026-08-21Hamilton34th4th0
2026-07-25Ascot29th8th+1
2026-07-17Pontefract33rd3rd0
2026-06-26Newcastle29th8th+1
2026-05-31Thirsk29th8th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0931/0525/0729/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength48%

Delivery trend -7.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/09/20252nd10/147%83%+0.36
11/10/202515th40/10%22%+0.22
13/05/202618th80/10%19%+0.19
31/05/20269th40/10%38%+0.38
26/06/20269th28/10%38%+0.38
17/07/20263rd11/271%67%-0.04
25/07/20269th14/126%33%+0.07
21/08/20264th11/142%70%+0.28
29/08/20268th6/168%13%-0.56