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3

Veydari

4yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 72

Hamilton · Heineken Low & No Bar Handicap · 5f 7y

#6

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Didn't manage to win for current yard last year but made the frame on 3 occasions. Having dropped back down to his winning mark, shaped well on his return when second of 10 at Pontefract in June, doing too much having faced competition for the lead. Has had a breathing operation ahead of return.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength74%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newmarket 23/10/2024 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 78 · 7f Sft 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/10/2024 · OR 78 par23/104OR 784 @ York 31/05/2025 · Pos 9th of 22 · OR 77 · 7f Goo 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark31/05/2025 · OR 77 par4 @ Hamilton 15/06/2025 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 76 · 6f6y GS 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/06/2025 · OR 76 par15/064OR 764 @ Chester 12/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 74 · 6f17y Goo 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/07/2025 · OR 74 par4 @ York 25/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR 76 · 5f89y Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/07/2025 · OR 76 par25/074OR 764 @ Chester 30/08/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 76 · 5f15y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/08/2025 · OR 76 par4 @ Ayr 30/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 74 · 6f Sft 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/09/2025 · OR 74 par30/094OR 744 @ Pontefract 20/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 73 · 5f3y Sft 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/10/2025 · OR 73 par5 @ Pontefract 08/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 71 · 6f Goo 131 · beat its mark08/06/2026 · OR 71 par8/065OR 71projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-08Pontefract52nd2nd0
2025-10-20Pontefract47th6th+1
2025-09-30Ayr44th3rd+1
2025-08-30Chester48th7th+1
2025-07-25York44th3rd+1
2025-07-12Chester42nd1st+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/1012/0730/098/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength62%

Delivery trend -3.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/10/20244th10/382%70%-0.12
31/05/20259th22/10%62%+0.62
15/06/20258th8/158%46%-0.12
12/07/20252nd15/261%89%+0.28
25/07/20254th9/153%79%+0.26
30/08/20258th15/261%0%-0.61
30/09/20254th7/163%75%+0.12
20/10/20257th11/271%45%-0.26
08/06/20262nd11/271%89%+0.18