1
City Captain
4yo Gelding · 10-2 · OR 82
Hamilton · Get Closer With A RacingTV Free Trial Handicap · 6f 6y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
98%
Place Prob
82%
Rank
#1
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Hamilton | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Haydock | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Thirsk | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Newcastle | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-06 | Pontefract | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-09-25 | Pontefract | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength92%
Delivery trend +0.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06/2025 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 28/08/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 77% | +0.19 |
| 12/09/2025 | 9th | 7/2 | 82% | 43% | -0.39 |
| 25/09/2025 | 3rd | 85/40 | 89% | 85% | -0.04 |
| 06/10/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 27/03/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 18/04/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 92% | +0.23 |
| 09/05/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 21/08/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |