3
Farandaway
4yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 77
Hamilton · Get Closer With A RacingTV Free Trial Handicap · 6f 6y
#4
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength24%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Ripon | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Redcar | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-08-07 | Haydock | 5 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-07-23 | Doncaster | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-01 | Thirsk | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-11 | Southwell | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength81%
Delivery trend -1.6% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/02/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 82% | +0.21 |
| 10/03/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 90% | +0.08 |
| 19/03/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 11/04/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 86% | -0.04 |
| 01/07/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 23/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |
| 07/08/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 22/08/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 86% | -0.04 |
| 01/09/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |