7
Stirrup Cup
4yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 73
Hamilton · Get Closer With A RacingTV Free Trial Handicap · 6f 6y
#6
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Hamilton | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Hamilton | 5 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-06-08 | Carlisle | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-17 | Hamilton | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Thirsk | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-04-10 | Thirsk | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10/2025 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 18% | -0.29 |
| 22/11/2025 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 80% | +0.38 |
| 29/12/2025 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 22% | -0.30 |
| 10/04/2026 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 18/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 88% | +0.07 |
| 17/05/2026 | 9th | 13/2 | 66% | 33% | -0.32 |
| 08/06/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 17/06/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 43% | -0.44 |
| 21/08/2026 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |