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5

Edmond Halley

4yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 55

Hamilton · Start Your RacingTV Free Trial Now Confined Handicap · 6f 6y

#5

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fair form at best in Ireland for Kieran Patrick Cotter and shaped well since joining new yard, though didn't seem at home going-right handed when fifth of 10 in handicap at Musselburgh (7f, good to firm) 27 days ago. Returns to 6f and appeals as the type to bounce back.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength36%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 7.4)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.1
Today: 6
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Navan 22/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 5f Sft 13422/10C8BHA67 @ Curragh 02/11/2025 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR 67 · 5f Hvy 119 · below its mark02/11/2025 · OR 67 parBHA65 @ Naas 22/03/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR 65 · 5f205y Sft 135 · below its mark22/03/2026 · OR 65 par22/0365OR 65BHA63 @ Dundalk 01/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 63 · 6f Std 123 · below its mark01/04/2026 · OR 63 parBHA63 @ Navan 25/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR 63 · 5f Goo 133 · beat its mark25/04/2026 · OR 63 par25/0463OR 636 @ Catterick 15/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 58 · 5f GF 135 · beat its mark15/07/2026 · OR 58 par6 @ Ayr 10/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 57 · 6f Goo 135 · beat its mark10/08/2026 · OR 57 par10/086OR 576 @ Catterick 17/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 57 · 5f212y Goo 131 · beat its mark17/08/2026 · OR 57 par6 @ Musselburgh 25/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 57 · 7f15y Gd 127 · beat its mark25/08/2026 · OR 57 par25/086OR 57projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-25Musselburgh65th5th0
2026-08-17Catterick63rd3rd0
2026-08-10Ayr63rd3rd0
2026-07-15Catterick65th5th0
2026-04-25NavanBHA637th7th−0
2026-04-01DundalkBHA6311th11th−0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/101/0410/0825/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength75%

Delivery trend -3.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/10/20255th5/174%50%-0.24
02/11/202513th50/10%8%+0.08
22/03/202610th25/10%36%+0.36
01/04/202611th16/116%9%-0.07
25/04/20267th25/10%60%+0.60
15/07/20265th6/168%50%-0.18
10/08/20263rd3/184%83%-0.01
17/08/20263rd9/488%75%-0.13
25/08/20265th2/189%56%-0.34