Impressor
9yo Gelding · 9-3 · OR 54
Hamilton · Start Your RacingTV Free Trial Now Confined Handicap · 6f 6y
#1
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
96%
Place Prob
79%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Hamilton | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-09-02 | Hamilton | 6 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Hamilton | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Ayr | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Hamilton | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-04 | Hamilton | 5 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -8.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 18/04/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 47% | +0.21 |
| 18/05/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 55% | +0.12 |
| 04/06/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |
| 10/06/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 08/08/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 21/08/2026 | 8th | 17/2 | 55% | 22% | -0.33 |
| 02/09/2026 | 12th | 7/1 | 63% | 8% | -0.55 |
| 20/09/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |