Lesley's Boy
4yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 60
Hamilton · Start Your RacingTV Free Trial Now Confined Handicap · 6f 6y
#3
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 7.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Hamilton | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Southwell | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Carlisle | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-04-16 | Ripon | 4 | 16th | 14th | +2 |
| 2025-11-22 | Newcastle | 5 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.0% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08/2025 | 10th | 7/1 | 63% | 18% | -0.45 |
| 27/09/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 23/10/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 55% | +0.02 |
| 22/11/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 16/04/2026 | 16th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/06/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 64% | -0.07 |
| 15/06/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 16/08/2026 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 46% | -0.22 |
| 02/09/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |