8
Sovereign Class
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 48
Hamilton · Start Your RacingTV Free Trial Now Confined Handicap · 6f 6y
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Redcar | 6 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-02-05 | Southwell | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-01-13 | Newcastle | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-01 | Newcastle | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-19 | Newcastle | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength15%
Delivery trend +4.5% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06/2025 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 04/07/2025 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 20/11/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 88% | +0.51 |
| 29/11/2025 | 12th | 6/1 | 68% | 8% | -0.60 |
| 19/12/2025 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |
| 01/01/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 82% | +0.40 |
| 13/01/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 05/02/2026 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/09/2026 | 12th | 16/1 | 16% | 27% | +0.11 |