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9

Gatling Girl

4yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 67

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 2 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f 110y

#5

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength50%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 24/06/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 49 · 6f Fas 120 · beat its mark24/06/2025 · OR 49 par24/06C6OR 49C9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 07/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 53 · 5f110y Fas 120 · beat its mark07/08/2025 · OR 53 parC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 02/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 59 · 5f110y 120 · beat its mark02/09/2025 · OR 59 par2/09C8OR 59C0 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 01/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 1m70y 118C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 23/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 63 · 5f110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/10/2025 · OR 63 par23/10C5OR 63C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 07/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 67 · 6f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/05/2026 · OR 67 parC0 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 03/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 6f 1243/06C?C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 16/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 69 · 6f 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/06/2026 · OR 69 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 03/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 66 · 6f 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/09/2026 · OR 66 par3/09C5OR 66projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th4th+1
2026-06-16Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th4th+1
2026-06-03Horseshoe Indianapolis?9th9th0
2026-05-07Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st0th+1
2025-10-23Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st0th+1
2025-10-01Horseshoe Indianapolis?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/061/103/063/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength76%

Delivery trend +2.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/06/20258th12/137%13%-0.24
07/08/20251st6/492%100%+0.08
02/09/20251st5/287%100%+0.13
01/10/20257th25/10%25%+0.25
23/10/20251st5/287%100%+0.13
07/05/20261st6/594%100%+0.06
03/06/20269th25/10%0%0.00
16/06/20265th12/137%33%-0.04
03/09/20265th16/116%43%+0.27