7

Spirited Anne

3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 80

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 2 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f 110y

#4

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength40%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 2.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Hawthorne 04/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR - · 5f110y Gd 1194/09C9C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 01/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 65 · 6f 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/10/2025 · OR 65 par1/10C5OR 65C6 @ Hawthorne 26/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 71 · 5f110y Fas 120 · beat its mark26/10/2025 · OR 71 par26/10C6OR 71C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 13/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 76 · 1m70y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/11/2025 · OR 76 par13/11C5OR 76C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 08/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 84 · 5f110y 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/07/2026 · OR 84 par8/07C5OR 84C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 29/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 85 · 5f110y 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/07/2026 · OR 85 par29/07C5OR 85C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 03/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 81 · 6f 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/09/2026 · OR 81 par3/09C5OR 81projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd2nd+1
2026-07-29Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th4th+1
2026-07-08Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd1st+1
2025-11-13Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd1st+1
2025-10-26Hawthorne?1st1st0
2025-10-01Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd2nd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0913/113/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength25%

Delivery trend -13.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/09/20251st13/891%100%+0.09
01/10/20253rd16/116%75%+0.59
26/10/20251st11/486%100%+0.14
13/11/20252nd4/179%91%+0.12
08/07/20262nd5/287%83%-0.04
29/07/20265th8/1397%20%-0.77
03/09/20263rd10/1195%71%-0.24