Theoretically
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 67
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 2 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-08-18 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-08-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-07-09 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-06-26 | Churchill Downs | ? | 8th | 10th | −2 |
| 2026-05-10 | Churchill Downs | ? | 7th | 9th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 25% | -0.46 |
| 15/10/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 86% | +0.28 |
| 21/04/2026 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 10/05/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 26/06/2026 | 8th | 100/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 09/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 04/08/2026 | 4th | 5/4 | 93% | 40% | -0.53 |
| 18/08/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 03/09/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 29% | -0.19 |