8

Unbridled Devine

6yo Mare · 8-7 · OR 82

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 2 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f 110y

#2

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

13%

Place Prob

23%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength32%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 3.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 27/05/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 83 · 6f Fas 121 · below its mark27/05/2025 · OR 83 par27/05C6OR 83C7 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 19/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 84 · 6f Gd 119 · beat its mark19/06/2025 · OR 84 parC7 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 04/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 80 · 6f Fas 121 · beat its mark04/07/2025 · OR 80 par4/07C7OR 80C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 16/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 83 · 6f Slo 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark16/08/2025 · OR 83 parC7 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 05/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 85 · 6f Fas 119 · below its mark05/09/2025 · OR 85 par5/09C7OR 85C7 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 15/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 85 · 6f Fas 119 · beat its mark15/04/2026 · OR 85 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 28/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 86 · 5f110y 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/05/2026 · OR 86 par28/05C5OR 86C7 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 17/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 90 · 6f 119 · below its mark17/06/2026 · OR 90 parC7 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 04/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 84 · 5f110y 119 · below its mark04/08/2026 · OR 84 par4/08C7OR 84projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-04Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd4th1
2026-06-17Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th6th1
2026-05-28Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th3rd+1
2026-04-15Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st2nd1
2025-09-05Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd4th1
2025-08-16Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th4th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0516/0828/054/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength70%

Delivery trend -0.8% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/05/20256th9/153%17%-0.36
19/06/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
04/07/20251st6/168%100%+0.32
16/08/20255th9/276%33%-0.43
05/09/20253rd16/116%67%+0.51
15/04/20261st13/266%100%+0.34
28/05/20264th9/276%40%-0.36
17/06/20265th10/147%20%-0.27
04/08/20263rd13/266%71%+0.06