IvyArcIvyArc
4

Unbridled Sabbath

4yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 67

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 2 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f 110y

#8

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength38%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 03/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 70 · 1m Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/09/2025 · OR 70 par3/09C5OR 70C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 07/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 69 · 1m Slo 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/10/2025 · OR 69 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 14/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 75 · 1m Fm 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/10/2025 · OR 75 par14/10C5OR 75C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 06/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 75 · 1m Fm 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/11/2025 · OR 75 parC0 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 07/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 5f110y 1227/04C?C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 07/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 74 · 6f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/05/2026 · OR 74 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 06/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 74 · 1m Gd 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/07/2026 · OR 74 par6/07C5OR 74C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 22/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 68 · 5f110y 119 · below its mark22/08/2026 · OR 68 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 02/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 61 · 1m Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/09/2026 · OR 61 par2/09C5OR 61projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Horseshoe Indianapolis?8th7th+1
2026-08-22Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th8th−2
2026-07-06Horseshoe Indianapolis?8th7th+1
2026-05-07Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd1st+1
2026-04-07Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th6th0
2025-11-06Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st0th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/096/116/072/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 8-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -6.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/09/20255th16/116%64%+0.48
07/10/20255th9/276%50%-0.26
14/10/20252nd11/486%83%-0.02
06/11/20251st10/382%100%+0.18
07/04/20266th50/10%55%+0.55
07/05/20262nd11/893%75%-0.18
06/07/20268th10/382%0%-0.82
22/08/20266th14/126%0%-0.26
02/09/20268th14/126%22%-0.04