4
Captain Shagaf
2yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 66
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
8/5
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
80%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 6-6 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength9%
Delivery trend -51.5% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 86% | +0.20 |
| 19/08/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |