6
Bayou Lover
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 29
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 11.3 /10 (raw 8.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 11th | −3 |
| 2026-07-08 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 11th | 14th | −3 |
| 2026-06-16 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 9th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength33%
Delivery trend +16.3% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 08/07/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 05/08/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |