IvyArcIvyArc
2

Flatwater

3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 41

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 110y

#4

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength16%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 06/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 6f Fas 1206/08C6C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 24/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 32 · 1m Gd 120 · beat its mark24/08/2026 · OR 32 par24/08C6OR 32C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 10/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 43 · 1m 120 · beat its mark10/09/2026 · OR 43 par10/09C6OR 43projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0
2026-08-24Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0
2026-08-06Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0824/0810/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +38.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/08/20265th11/271%33%-0.38
24/08/20264th13/266%40%-0.26
10/09/20264th20/10%40%+0.40