8
Officer Gambill
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 59
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
98%
Place Prob
82%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲2
Strength14%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-07-27 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-06-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-05-21 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-05-02 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength69%
Delivery trend -2.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 12/11/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 83% | +0.68 |
| 15/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |
| 02/05/2026 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 27% | -0.44 |
| 21/05/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 80% | -0.10 |
| 11/06/2026 | 4th | 4/6 | 96% | 63% | -0.34 |
| 27/07/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 70% | -0.09 |
| 05/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 88% | +0.01 |
| 10/09/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 80% | +0.17 |