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What You Wished

5yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 51

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 110y

#6

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength28%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 7.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 08/07/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 44 · 1m110y Fm 121 · below its mark08/07/2025 · OR 44 par8/07C9OR 44C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 30/07/2025 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 53 · 1m Gd 121 · below its mark30/07/2025 · OR 53 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 18/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 52 · 1m110y Gd 124 · beat its mark18/08/2025 · OR 52 par18/08C6OR 52C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 29/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 51 · 1m110y Gd 125 · beat its mark29/09/2025 · OR 51 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 10/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 51 · 1m110y Slo 124 · beat its mark10/06/2026 · OR 51 par10/06C6OR 51C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 06/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 38 · 1m Fm 124 · beat its mark06/07/2026 · OR 38 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 15/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 49 · 1m110y Fm 119 · beat its mark15/07/2026 · OR 49 par15/07C6OR 49C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 29/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 41 · 1m110y 124 · beat its mark29/07/2026 · OR 41 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 24/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 56 · 1m Gd 119 · beat its mark24/08/2026 · OR 56 par24/08C6OR 56projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-24Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th5th0
2026-07-29Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0
2026-07-15Horseshoe Indianapolis?7th7th0
2026-07-06Horseshoe Indianapolis?9th9th0
2026-06-10Horseshoe Indianapolis?8th8th0
2025-09-29Horseshoe Indianapolis?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0729/0915/0724/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength66%

Delivery trend +0.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/07/20259th50/10%20%+0.20
30/07/202512th50/10%0%0.00
18/08/20254th20/10%63%+0.63
29/09/20258th20/10%22%+0.22
10/06/20268th40/10%13%+0.13
06/07/20269th40/10%20%+0.20
15/07/20267th50/10%25%+0.25
29/07/20264th33/10%63%+0.63
24/08/20265th16/116%20%+0.04