1
Bulldog Mike
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 48
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Hawthorne | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Hawthorne | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-11-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-09-30 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 10th | 8th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength42%
Delivery trend +1.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08/2025 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/09/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/11/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 31/05/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 21/06/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 05/08/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 27/08/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |