Reiteration
6yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 79
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-06-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-06-03 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2025-05-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -9.6% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10/2024 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |
| 11/11/2024 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 22/04/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 13/05/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 03/06/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 14% | -0.33 |
| 22/06/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 63% | +0.15 |
| 06/07/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 05/08/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 43% | -0.23 |
| 25/08/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 29% | -0.32 |