4
Shaggyinthecity
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 47
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength19%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-10-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength73%
Delivery trend +11.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/2025 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 30% | -0.17 |
| 11/06/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 27/07/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 25/08/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |